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The next president will play a key role in shaping US trade policy – here’s what voters need to know

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From the ports of Los Angeles to the cornfields of Iowa, U.S. international trade policy is a force shaping the lives of each American. With the November 2024 presidential election approaching, discussing trade policy will not be just an educational exercise – it’s a civic responsibility.

as economistI even have spent years studying this topic. Trade policy has a huge impact on the best way industries operatefrom production locations to competitive dynamics. These changes impact on a regular basis life, from the associated fee of your morning coffee to job security in your area people.

And since the president has broad control over trade policy, each presidential election is a referendum on the difficulty.

The two most up-to-date administrations – President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence from 2017 to 2021, and President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris from 2021 to present – ​​have taken very different approaches to trade policy. The contrast shows how the president’s economic philosophy can reshape the country’s global business strategy.

Both Trump and Harris will be on the ballot in November. Harris is Biden’s trade policy is anticipated to proceed if he wins. This comparison provides insight into how the next U.S. president will manage trade.

2017–2021: Trump and Pence on trade

During his time in office, Trump pursued a protectionist trade agenda.

Protectionism refers to government policies that restrict international trade to profit domestic industries. These measures include tariffs – taxes on imported goods – quotas and regulations that make imports costlier.

One of the Trumps first official acts was withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a colossal 12-nation pact that might cover 40% of world production. His decision cost America each access to lucrative Asian markets and a powerful counterweight to China’s economic influence.

Closer to home, Trump renegotiated the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). United States-Mexico-Canada Agreementtightening regulations for automotive manufacturers. Effect? However, the remuneration of employees in the automotive industry and vehicle prices for American consumers increased, it hardly stimulated any additional domestic automotive production.

Trump also introduced tariffs trade war with China and the European Union, claiming that it might solve unfair practices and reduce the US trade deficit. This strategy, nonetheless, triggered retaliatory tariffs that resulted in higher consumer prices and job losses in American industries depending on imported components. While some sectors have benefited from this approach, U.S. farmers have suffered from export losses, requiring government subsidies.

Trump and his latest running mate, J.D. Vance, have signaled their intention to revive their “America First” trade strategy. Their campaign platform calls for large tariffs, including: general rate of 10% on all goods and more aggressive 60% customs duty aimed specifically at Chinese products.

2021-today: Biden and Harris on trade

In turn, the Biden-Harris administration has adopted a multilateral approach, emphasizing cooperation between countries.

Administration kept most of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods in place and part for importing steel and aluminum from other countries. However, they’ve reframed the measures under: wider push stop climate change and protect staff’ rights.

The administration has also launched initiatives equivalent to An Indo-Pacific economic framework for prosperityor IPEF, signaling a return to Obama-era trade strategies that prioritize regional partnerships in the Pacific. IPEF goals to strengthen economic ties with Asian countries by coordinating policies to increase supply chain resilience and promote clean energy, relatively than focusing solely on tariff reductions.

The Biden-Harris approach emphasizes international cooperation while valuing domestic job creation, particularly in the clean energy and manufacturing sectors. However, lots of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods, steel and aluminum have been maintained costs high for some US businesses and consumers.

Building on Biden administration policies, Harris’ campaign has signaled that its goal is to protect lower- and middle-income households from latest tariffs this might raise prices while maintaining a tough stance on China through existing tariffs and trade restrictions.

Presidential powers and influence on trade

The president plays key role in determining US trade policy.

The president can negotiate international trade agreements, although Congress must approve them to grow to be law. The executive branch also controls tariffs; under laws equivalent to the Trade Act of 1974, the president can impose them without the consent of Congress.

In addition, the president can declare a nationwide trade emergency, appoint trade representatives, issue executive orders to administer federal trade policy, and impose sanctions that may affect global trade dynamics.

Free trade agreements can boost exports and promote economic growth, but they may displace some staff. However, import tariffs protect some domestic industries, but raise prices for American consumers. Studies show that tariffs imposed under Trump and continued by Biden have led to higher prices, reduced production and declining employment, harming US economy.

Trade policy also affects diplomatic relations and global supply chains. So when voters review candidates’ trade policy positions, they need to look beyond the bits they hear. Understanding how each approach affects labor markets, consumer prices and global competitiveness will help voters solid informed votes that align with their vision for the country’s future.

In the world of trading, every vote counts.

This article was originally published on : theconversation.com
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Tariffs are back in the highlight, but skepticism about free trade has deep roots in American history

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One of the more surprising developments in recent American politics has been the opposition to free trade.

Just recently, a decade ago, Both Democrats and Republicans he was generally in favor of free trade. However, with the 2024 presidential election just days away, each Republicans Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris they are definitely based on protectionism. In particular, the Trump campaign promotes tariffs it might be hard to assume it comes from a Republican presidential candidate only a decade ago.

This latest post-neoliberal moment could appear confusing. But it harkens back to economic policy – ​​and political parties – from around the time of the nation’s founding, and offers clues to our divided present.

In the late 18th century, founding father Alexander Hamilton helped implement a set of policies intended to encourage American industry and promote economic development and innovation.

This agreement, which laid the foundations for what became often known as “American system”, emerged in part as a counterweight to British ideas of free trade. And the American system expanded rapidly, consistent with accepted economic policy, as young America developed its industrial strength.

Hamilton’s economic nationalism

In the early years of the republic, the United States had no trade policy in any respect.

When the United States officially became independent in 1783 with the signing of Treaty of Paris, Articles of Confederation – the country’s first structure – significantly limited the powers of the federal government, including its ability to manage foreign trade.

These restrictions reflected the reality of 13 very different countries that were more united against the British – and their control of trade – than in support of a standard vision of economic development.

Economic conditions in this loosely connected country deteriorated rapidly. AND deepening economic crisissoon there was mounting debt, inflation, low cost British manufactured goods, and rising bankruptcy. Such changing conditions have given rise to calls for a brand new economic policy for the country.

This economic strain was a very important factor resulting in the creation of the United States Constitution, ratified in 1789. The Constitution gave the federal government the ability to manage foreign trade and, for the first time, collect taxes. Both were privileges once held only by sovereign American states.

“The Second American Revolution”

A strengthened American Congress made the passage of a national tariff bill one in every of its first tasks. When was that? ratified in 1789a national import tax replaced tariffs previously introduced by the states. Perhaps indicating the scale of this variation, supporters called it the “Second American Revolution,” which occurred on July 4, 1789. As a result, it helped create a brand new concept of the American political and financial system, with a much stronger role for the state in economic matters.

The tariffs were imposed on 30 goods, including hemp and textiles. Perhaps also heralding the trade policy of the future era, the Customs Act imposed obligations amounting to 12.5% ​​on goods imported from China and India.

The predominant architect of this latest industrial policy was Hamilton, who published his seminal work on economic policy, Report on producersin 1791. Hamilton’s ideas were based on the transformation of a predominantly agricultural nation right into a nation defined, not less than in part, by growing and diversified industry.

Although often neglected, Hamilton’s report on manufacturers also had a broader vision – it sought to encourage the development of American inventiveness as a type of economic policy and advocated the unlocking of “people’s genius” in order that “the wealth of the nation may flourish.”

To promote a spirit of national enterprise, Hamilton encouraged promoting technological progress, subsidizing research, attracting immigrants, supporting a brand new economic system, and implementing a patent system to advertise inventions. This policy was in many respects an extension of the previous policy contained in Section 8 Constitution.

Customs duties and their dissatisfaction

As tariffs continued in the many years following the Hamilton Plan, policymakers became increasingly protective while trying to advertise American industry more directly. They introduced tariffs to isolate the growing American industry from foreign competition, mainly from Great Britain

In the early nineteenth century, this growing protectionist movement coalesced powerful Kentucky legislator Henry Clay and his Whig Party. Clay, who was the first to call the American systemand his allies were instrumental in raising average national tariff rates to twenty% in 1816.

These sweets will cost you.
Library of Congress

When the crisis occurred in Panic of 1819there have been falling cotton prices, tighter lending, widespread corporate takeovers, and rising unemployment. In response, Clay and his allies raised tariffs again, to 50% in 1828.

The increasing use of tariffs sparked a fierce response from a few of the country’s farming and slave-owning class, who opposed perceived Northern dominance and a robust federal government. One distinguished Southern critic of the time called the 1828 tariff “fare of abominations

Indeed, opposition to elements of the American system was one in every of the predominant political goals of early Democratic politicians resembling Andrew Jackson, and struggles over the system foreshadowed later sectional struggles resulting in the Civil War.

As the Industrial Revolution took root in American society in the following many years, tariffs remained a cornerstone of American economic policy. By the late 1850s, tariffs were integrated into the policies of the newly formed Republican Party and formed a very important pillar of Abraham Lincoln’s economic platform.

In the late nineteenth century, a changing Democratic Party, increasingly supported by a robust agricultural populist movement, they were still largely against the tariff systemarguing that it benefited powerful industrialists at the expense of the working class, offering little in the fight against the economic crisis.

The breakdown of the American system – and why it matters today

From 1861 to 1933, tariffs were a regular tool of American economic policy. During this era, tariffs on dutiable goods often averaged between 40% and 50%, especially at the turn of the twentieth century. U.S. policymakers didn’t seriously query tariffs as a form of business policy until the deepening of the Great Depression in the Nineteen Thirties.

After World War II, the United States decisively abandoned tariffs. The The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act was widely blamed for deepening the Great Depression and contributing to international conflicts in the Nineteen Thirties and Forties, effectively ending the era of protectionism in US industrial history.

The creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913 provided policymakers with an progressive tool – monetary policy – ​​to take care of economic downturns. Keynesian Revolution it has provided governments with one more policy response to contemplate in periods of economic crisis: spending as a fiscal stimulus to create jobs and incomes.

Finally, as postwar American policy embraced open world trade, American economic policy sought more direct mechanisms to support domestic innovation and entrepreneurship, effectively dismantling policies once depending on the intervention of trade activists. With the elimination of tariffs got here one in every of the best periods of American economic growth and innovation.

In 2024, the Republican platform has in some ways returned to its roots, offering tariffs as a key economic strategy. Similarly, the Democratic platform, with its skepticism of concentrated corporate power coupled with a renewed concentrate on financial support for small businesses and entrepreneurship, is paying homage to its generation earlier.

As Americans head to the polls, it’s price asking how current economic proposals, deeply rooted in the old American system, might help shape economic policy in the future.

This article was originally published on : theconversation.com
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Companies shy away from IRS 401(k) student loan matching guidelines

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The IRS has issued guidance on how firms can use a 401(k) match to match an worker’s contribution to student loan repayment, but some employers have been slow to implement the ruling.

According to Bloomberg Law employers were reluctant to implement IRS guidelines because they’re concerned in regards to the additional complexities resulting from the ruling, regardless that Fidelity Investments, SoFi Technologies and Betterment LLC have already offered to establish student loan matching services.

Employees are also cautious about implementing latest IRS guidance as they watch how the federal government approaches student loan forgiveness.

However, under IRS guidelines, employers can count repayments as a part of an worker’s deferred retirement, which allows employees participating in a 401(k) matching program to save lots of for eventual retirement while paying off student loan debt.

“The problem isn’t student loans; the issue is the cost of education,” Betsy Mayotte, president and founding father of the Student Loan Institute, told Bloomberg Law. “We can apply any variety of band-aids and antibiotics to a student loan to make things easier for borrowers, and we should always proceed to achieve this, but we’re primarily treating the wound, not trying to forestall it. “

As of Sept. 30, Verizon Communications Inc., Chipotle and Abbott Laboratories are amongst the businesses which have opted to benefit from the 401(k) student loan matching program, but concerns remain.

“This guidance is certainly welcome and helpful, but they (employers) want to be sure that additional help is available to the extent that foot defects exist; they can be easily corrected,” Gabe Marinaro, partner at Akerman LLP, told Bloomberg Law.

Barry Salkin, a member of the Wagner Law Group, told the web site that risk-averse employers don’t actually need so as to add too many elements to their existing 401(k) plans. “Things can go wrong when making a plan,” he added, “but I don’t classify it as a high-risk proposition, like offering cryptocurrency.”

As it stands, the important obstacle to widespread adoption of those plans is data collection and verification issues.

“Actually proving that people are paying off their student loans, that they’re not in default, or that they’re not taking advantage of options like forbearance and deferment is something that still needs to be clarified,” financial consultant Raya Reaves, owner of City Girl Savings, told Bloomberg Law.

According to Jantz Hoffman, chairman of the Certified Student Loan Standards Board, data collection has grow to be harder partially due to the STOP Act of 2020, which goals to guard data from fraud targeting individuals with student loan debt.

“The STOP Act data restrictions make it very difficult for plan administrators to manage a plan with a matching component because there is no automated way to receive this data,” Hoffman told Bloomberg Law. “They also won’t want to take on a big cost burden by forcing their employees to register on the portal and send payments through it for verification, because it’s expensive.”

Hoffman also said some employers need to ensure that they are not showing favoritism to a small segment of the workforce.


This article was originally published on : www.blackenterprise.com
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JPMorgan Chase sues customers for exploiting viral ‘infinite money glitch’

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JP Morgan Chase


JPMorgan Chase, the most important U.S. bank by assets, has filed lawsuits against customers who allegedly took advantage of a technical glitch to withdraw large amounts of funds from ATMs before the deposited checks bounced.

The lawsuits, which were filed in no less than three federal courts on October 28, are directed at individuals who allegedly withdrew essentially the most significant ones amounts under the so-called “infinite money bug,” a program that gained popularity on social media platforms similar to TikTok in late August.

The most notable case involves a Houston man who JPMorgan says owes $290,939.47 after an unidentified accomplice deposited a fraudulent check totaling $335,000 at an ATM.

“On August 29, 2024, a masked man deposited a check into Defendant Chase’s bank account in the amount of $335,000,” JPMorgan said within the Texas lawsuit. “After depositing the check, the defendant began withdrawing most of his ill-gotten funds.”

JPMorgan reportedly investigated hundreds of cases involving various sums within the wake of the virus glitch. While the bank didn’t disclose the full financial impact, its investigation highlighted the continuing challenge of check fraud, a world problem that caused $26.6 billion in losses last 12 months alone, in keeping with Nasdaq’s Global Financial Crime Report. While using paper checks has declined, JPMorgan’s “infinite financial glitch” episode shows how social media can increase vulnerabilities in financial institutions.

The glitch was reportedly fixed a number of days after it was discovered, allowing customers to bypass the standard waiting period that banks impose for checks to clear. Under normal circumstances, only a portion of the check value is on the market for immediate withdrawal, with the rest available only after the check clears, which can take several days.

In addition to the Texas case, JPMorgan has filed additional lawsuits in Miami and California involving clients accused of paying out amounts starting from $80,000 to $141,000. Most of the cases involve smaller sums, in keeping with people accustomed to the bank’s internal investigation, although JPMorgan prioritized cases with larger amounts and those who could have ties to organized crime groups.

Court documents show that JPMorgan’s security team contacted people suspected of committing fraud, asking for the return of fraudulent checks under the terms of the bank’s deposit agreement. The bank’s lawsuits seek refunds, interest, overdraft fees and, in some cases, punitive damages. The financial institution can be looking for damages for legal costs related to remediation.

These civil cases mark the start of a broader legal campaign by the bank against people it accuses of fraudulently obtaining funds through the ATM loophole. In addition to the civil cases, JPMorgan is reportedly turning over cases to law enforcement agencies across the country, paving the best way for potential criminal charges. According to sources accustomed to the bank’s approach, this strategy signals that JPMorgan will actively pursue criminals, specializing in cases indicating possible links to organized fraud groups.

“Fraud is a crime that impacts everyone and undermines confidence in the banking system,” Drew Pusateri, a spokesman for JPMorgan, said in an announcement to CNBC. “We are investigating these matters and actively working with law enforcement to ensure that if anyone commits fraud against Chase and its customers, they are held accountable.”

The lawsuits reflect JPMorgan’s commitment to recuperate funds lost to ATM fraud and function a warning to discourage similar schemes. The bank’s proactive stance also reflects growing awareness of how social media can facilitate the rapid exploitation of monetary vulnerabilities, highlighting the evolving bank security landscape.


This article was originally published on : www.blackenterprise.com
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