Connect with us

Technology

Nvidia may be ready to be the successor to AWS

Published

on

Nvidia and Amazon Web Services, Amazon’s lucrative cloud arm, has surprisingly much in common. First, their core business was created by glad accident. In the case of AWS, it realized that it could sell internal services—storage, compute, and memory—that it had built for itself in-house. In Nvidia’s case, it was the proven fact that a GPU created for gaming purposes also performed well for processing AI workloads.

Ultimately, this led to a surge in revenues in recent quarters. Nvidia’s revenue is growing by triple digits, from $7.1 billion in the first quarter of 2024 to $22.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024. That’s a reasonably amazing trajectory, although the overwhelming majority of that growth has been in the company’s data center business.

While Amazon has never experienced such an intense growth spurt, it has consistently been a big revenue driver for the e-commerce giant, and each firms have gained early market advantage. However, over the years, Microsoft and Google have joined the market to form the Big Three cloud service providers, and other chipmakers are expected to eventually start gaining significant market share, even when the revenue graph continues to rise over the coming years. several years.

Both firms were clearly in the right place at the right time. When web applications and mobile devices began to emerge around 2010, the cloud provided on-demand resources. Enterprises soon began to see the value of moving workloads or constructing applications in the cloud reasonably than running their very own data centers. Similarly, the rise of artificial intelligence over the past decade, and more recently large language models, has coincided with an explosion in the use of GPUs to process these workloads.

Over the years, AWS has evolved into an especially profitable company, currently earning a rate of return close to $100 billion, and which, even aside from Amazon, would be a really successful company. But AWS’s growth has begun to slow at the same time as Nvidia gains momentum. Part of that is the law of huge numbers, which can eventually affect Nvidia as well.

The query is whether or not Nvidia will be able to sustain this growth and develop into a long-term revenue powerhouse like AWS is for Amazon. If the GPU market starts to shrink, Nvidia could have other businesses, but as this chart shows, they’re much smaller revenue generators which can be growing much slower than the current GPU data center business.

Image credits: Nvidia

Short-term financial prospects

As you possibly can see in the chart above, Nvida’s revenue growth in recent quarters has been astronomical. According to Nvidia and Wall Street analysts, this case will proceed.

In his recent earnings report covering the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 (the three months ending January 31, 2024), Nvidia has informed its investors that it expects revenue of $24 billion in the current quarter (Q1FY25). Compared to last 12 months’s first quarter, Nvidia expects growth of roughly 234%.

It’s just not a number we regularly see for mature public firms. However, given the company’s massive revenue growth in recent quarters, its growth rate is anticipated to slow. Following 22% revenue growth from the third to fourth quarters of the recently ended fiscal 12 months, Nvidia expects a more modest growth rate of 8.6% from the last quarter of fiscal 2024 to the first quarter of fiscal 2025. Certainly next 12 months – compared to last 12 months, reasonably than looking back at just three months, Nvidia’s growth rate stays incredible in the current period. However, there are other growth declines on the horizon.

For example, analysts expect Nvidia to generate revenue of $110.5 billion in the current fiscal 12 months, up just over 81% from a 12 months ago. This is significantly lower than the 126% growth recorded in the recently ended fiscal 12 months 2024.

To which we ask: So what? Nvidia is anticipated to proceed growing its revenues over no less than the next few quarters, surpassing the $100 billion annualized rate mark, a powerful result for a corporation that reported total revenues of just $7.19 billion a 12 months ago .

In short, analysts and, to a more modest extent, Nvidia, see tremendous growth ahead for the company, even when a few of its impressive revenue growth numbers slow this calendar 12 months. It is unclear what is going to occur in a rather longer time horizon.

Forward momentum

It looks like AI may be the gift that keeps on giving to Nvidia for the next few years, at the same time as it starts to see more competition from AMD, Intel and other chipmakers. Like AWS, Nvidia will eventually face stronger competition, however it currently controls a lot of the market that it might afford to lose some.

By looking solely at the chip level, and never at the boards or other adjoining components, IDC shows that Nvidia is in total control:

Chart showing Nvidia's market-leading GPU chips with 97.7%

Image credits: IDC

If you take a look at the motherboard level and supply market share data from Jon Peddie Research (JPR), an organization that tracks the GPU market, while Nvidia continues to dominate, AMD becomes stronger:

The chart shows the percentage of the GPU market divided by the three largest vendors: Nvidia, AMD, and Intel

Image credits: Jon Peddie’s research

C Robert Dow, an analyst at JPR, says a few of these fluctuations have to do with the timing of recent product introductions. “AMD is gaining percentage points here and there depending on market cycles – when new cards are introduced – and inventory levels, but Nvidia has had a dominant position for years and will continue to do so,” Dow told TechCrunch.

Shane Rau, an IDC analyst who tracks the silicon market, also expects this dominance to proceed, at the same time as trends change. “There are trends and counter-trends, the markets in which Nvidia participates are large and getting larger, and growth will continue for at least the next five years,” Rau said.

One reason is that Nvidia sells greater than just the chip itself. “They sell you boards, systems, software, services and time spent on certainly one of their supercomputers. So each of those markets is large and growing, and Nvidia is committed to each of them,” he said.

However, not everyone sees Nvidia as an unstoppable force. David Linthicum, a long-time cloud consultant and writer, says you do not at all times need GPUs, and corporations are starting to realize this. “They say they need GPUs. I take a look at it, do the calculations on the back of the envelope, and it seems they do not need them. The processors are in excellent condition,” he said.

He believes that when this happens, Nvidia will start to decelerate and the competition will weaken its position in the market. “I think Nvidia will turn into an underdog over the next few years. And we will see that because too many substitutes are being built.”

Rau says other vendors will even profit as firms expand AI applications to include Nvidia products. “I think we will see growing markets in the future, which will be a positive factor for Nvidia. But then there will be other companies that will also follow this tailwind and will particularly benefit from artificial intelligence.”

It can be possible that some disruptive force will be at work, with a positive effect if one company doesn’t develop into too dominant. “You almost hope there will be disruption because that’s how markets and capitalism work best, right? Someone gains an early advantage, other suppliers follow, the market grows. You get established players that end up being disrupted by a better way of doing the same thing in their market or in adjacent markets that are encroaching on theirs,” Rau said.

In fact, we’re starting to see this occur at Amazon as Microsoft gains traction with its relationship with OpenAI and Amazon is forced to play catch-up when it comes to AI. Whatever happens to Nvidia in the future, it’s currently firmly in the driver’s seat, creating wealth, dominating a growing market, and just about all the pieces goes its own way. However, this doesn’t mean that this may at all times be the case and that there won’t be greater competitive pressure in the future.

This article was originally published on : techcrunch.com
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Technology

European VC Atomico closes $1.24 billion in two funds for early-stage and growth-stage startups

Published

on

By

European VC Atomico closes $1.24B across two funds for early and growth-stage startups

As European startups proceed to look for signs of lasting market confidence that goes beyond the hype surrounding AI firms, Atomic — one in every of the region’s best-known and largest enterprise capital firms — has raised more cash for investments that would indicate how the market is de facto moving. The VC has closed $1.24 billion in latest funding to support early-stage and growth-stage startups across the region.

London-based Atomico is describing it as its “largest fundraising ever,” although technically it’s two pools of cash. “Atomico Venture VI” is weighing in at $485 million for firms mostly in Series A (with a number of put aside for seed), while a separate $754 million fund — called “Atomico Growth VI” — is earmarked for Series B pre-IPOs.

Raising and allocating money from separate funds is typical for many enterprise capital firms today, but Atomico closing two separate funds, led by separate teams, is notable. The firm has historically leaned toward earlier rounds of funding while delving into later stages when it is sensible. Now, it’s preparing to focus just as much on the later stages of a startup’s journey with a dedicated fund.

The move could also indicate some trepidation amongst some investors who’re hesitant to take a position money in young firms ahead of a profit. By setting things up this fashion, Atomico can more easily bring in more risk-averse limited partners (LPs) by allowing them to funnel money into tried-and-tested businesses slightly than backing a single fund that would include anything from seed to Series F.

The news comes amid a worldwide recession in the enterprise capital market, a trend to which Europe has not been immune.

One of the things Atomico has built a popularity for in the investment world is its annual research reports on the state of the European tech ecosystem, which focus specifically on how the enterprise capital segment of the market is doing. Its latest report was a somber read, noting that, amid the continued slowdown, European startup funding halved in 2023, driven by aspects including geopolitical events, inflation, and rates of interest. It also found that market and investment data were skewed in 2021 and 2022, which (because of Covid-19) saw significant outliers for revenue, funding, and valuations because of increased demand for certain varieties of technology, amongst other things.

European VC funding last 12 months in fact, it was barely higher than before the pandemicAn optimist would interpret this as an indication that the tech market could also be in higher shape than the darker data might suggest. Data for Q2 2024 could I support this thesisin addition to a slew of latest funding from several distinguished VC firms in the region. In May, Accel announced a brand new $650 million tranche for early-stage startups, while Balderton recently unlocked $1.3 billion in two latest funds—$615 million in early-stage and $685 million in growth.

Deficiency

Atomico’s latest fund outperforms its previous one by greater than 50%. But Atomico’s sixth fund stands out for its two distinct focuses—something that can also unwittingly tell a story about where investors’ heads are headed, provided that one in every of the funds fell wanting Atomico’s funding goal. According to documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) last 12 months, Atomico sought 600 million dollars AND $750 million for enterprise capital and growth funds respectively – because of this while Atomico barely exceeded its growth goal, it missed it by almost 20% for enterprise capital funds.

On the one hand, it makes more sense for Atomico to place additional cash into later-stage firms, provided that its investment portfolio has grown over time — firms that were once early-stage are actually in full-scale mode, requiring more cash than ever. On the opposite hand, failing to satisfy its funding goal for earlier-stage startups suggests that fewer investors are willing to back young firms than Atomico had hoped.

Atomico says it has already made about 21 investments in each funds, including several from Atomico Growth VI in its portfolio, including DeepL and Pelago, and led Corti’s Series B round. Earlier in the round, Atomico Venture VI invested money in Neko Health, Ben, Dexory, Deeploi, Striesand Laker, dating back to the fund’s first launch in early 2022.

This article was originally published on : techcrunch.com
Continue Reading

Technology

Elon Musk says Tesla ‘doesn’t have to’ license xAI models

Published

on

By

Elon Musk says Tesla has ‘no need’ to license xAI models

Elon Musk has denied reports that considered one of his corporations, Tesla, is in talks to share revenue with one other company, xAI, in order that it might use the startup’s artificial intelligence models.

Yesterday the Wall Street Journal wrote: that under a proposed deal described to investors, Tesla will use xAI models in its driver-assistance software (referred to as Full Self-Driving, or FSD). The AI ​​startup will even help develop features just like the voice assistant in Tesla vehicles and software for its humanoid robot Optimus.

Writing on his social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Musk said He had not read the WSJ article, but described the report’s summary as “inaccurate.”

“Tesla has learned a lot from discussions with xAI engineers that have helped accelerate the achievement of unsupervised FSD, but there is no need to license anything from xAI,” he wrote. “xAI models are gigantic, contain most human knowledge in a compressed form, and could not run on a Tesla vehicle’s reasoning computer, nor would we want them to.”

Musk founded xAI as a competitor to OpenAI (which he co-founded but ultimately left). TechCrunch reported earlier this yr that as a part of xAI’s $6 billion funding round, the startup presented a vision by which its models could be trained on data from Musk’s various corporations (Tesla, SpaceX, The Boring Company, Neuralink, and X), and its models could then improve technology at those corporations.

Tesla shareholders sued Musk over the choice to launch xAI, arguing that Musk transferred talent and resources from Tesla to an organization that is definitely a competitor.


This article was originally published on : techcrunch.com
Continue Reading

Technology

Payroll startup Warp distances itself from ‘collaborator’ who posted about white superiority

Published

on

By

Payroll startup Warp disavows ‘affiliate’ who posted about white superiority

Warpa young New York-based payroll startup has found itself within the highlight as a consequence of controversial posts on an account related to the corporate.

On Thursday, a user with the nickname Vittorio wrote on X: “I like white people more, they do more, they are better at their roles, I need to climb the Kardashev scale, I will let black people run and play basketball.”

The account profile contained a badge indicating that “Vittorio” was related to Warpwhose software focuses on automating tax compliance across states and was a part of the winter 2023 cohort at Y Combinator. The badge is something X (formerly Twitter) created as a part of its X for Business program in 2022 and is usually awarded to employees, but Warp appears to be rolling it out more broadly as a part of an unconventional marketing strategy.

Indeed, when the outcry inevitably erupted, it focused not only on “Vittorio” but additionally on Warp, who later he withdrew his post as “misguided,” adding: “We believe excellence can come from anywhere.”

The company added that Vittorio “was never an employee of Warp” and said it had removed his partner badge.

The post and Vittorio’s account have since been deleted. Warp also said it was “restricting partner badges more broadly, limiting them to a smaller group of people we know personally.”

The company didn’t immediately reply to TechCrunch’s email looking for more details about its relationships with affiliates, a few of whom defended the unique post. (One, “Pico Paco,” he said “Vittorio did nothing wrong” and that it was only a “PR crisis” it looks prefer it’s losing its affiliate symbol too.)

Earlier this week, author Gergely Orosz he complained that his entire X channel was filled blue highlighted Warp-affiliated accounts “posting what appear to be ‘engagement bait’” — not only knowingly controversial political beliefs, but additionally mimicking posts which are clearly intended to go viral.

Orosz speculated that Warp was pursuing a brand new kind of promoting strategy: “Give that partner badge (that most companies use for employees, for example) to ‘trendy’ accounts that will draw attention to Warp and promote it.”

IN now deleted postWarp CEO Ayush Sharma wrote that “free speech is essential” and that Warp is “comfortable taking risks but also open to feedback.”

When one other user suggested that this meant Warp was comfortable with racism, Sharma replied“no, i’m mainly talking about all those people who say “why are you giving people warp badges” – we’re fine with trying/experimenting with anything, and like i said, we’re always open to feedback.”


This article was originally published on : techcrunch.com
Continue Reading
Advertisement

OUR NEWSLETTER

Subscribe Us To Receive Our Latest News Directly In Your Inbox!

We don’t spam! Read our privacy policy for more info.

Trending