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Making business decisions amid climate uncertainty is too difficult – here’s how ‘plots’ can help

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What will our climate appear to be in the long run? It is hard to overstate not only the importance of answering this query, but in addition the challenges it poses.

We know the climate is changing rapidly. But without details about where we’re headed, planning – on a private, organizational and societal level – becomes, to place it mildly, difficult.

As climate risk is also understood as a financial risk, many countries around the globe – including Australia – are taking steps to enable climate risk reporting obligatoryTherefore, the necessity for a plan can now not be ignored.

However, the way in which we currently communicate about climate risks has some serious limitations.

Last tests led by Tanya Fiedler explores these limitations and proposes that a brand new approach – using the facility of narrative – will probably be more useful and practical for organizations.

We all struggle with uncertainty

Why is it so difficult to color an image of our future climate that can help us make decisions? Part of the reply lies in the way in which individuals make decisions under conditions of uncertainty.

People are likely to find it difficult to deal with uncertainty and ambiguity, often scuffling with probabilities. This can influence our decisions, resulting in undesirable outcomes.

Tests It also showed that it is difficult for us to reply to warnings that don’t have anything to do with our life experience.

The second a part of the reply lies within the inherent complexity – and uncertainty – committed to making a useful picture of the long run.

The commonest approach to explore our future climate is to make use of global or regional climate models—complex mathematical simulations of our climate system. These have proven incredibly priceless in simulating how our climate will change as greenhouse gases increase.

They can predict how temperature, rainfall, wind, fire risk and even hail may change in the long run.

But forecasts by definition are uncertain, and using different models can produce different visions of the long run.

Companies are increasingly required to evaluate and disclose climate-related financial risks.
Photos by Chay_Tee

Problem with zooming

This uncertainty tends to extend as we zoom in on specific locations and change into more excited about them. extremes.

For example, it is relatively clear how average winter rainfall will change within the south-west of Western Australia, but it surely is much less clear how extreme rainfall events (which could cause severe flooding) will change.

By taking a look at a postcode or a single address, we may not even know if extreme rainfall will occur. increase or decrease.

This is an issue for organizations attempting to work out how to administer and prepare for such risks, often at the size of a single constructing. Modeling is precise, but not necessarily accurate enough for the sort of localized information.

This doesn’t mean that climate models aren’t useful or don’t provide priceless information. It simply implies that organizations might have to extend the worth of this information by combining it with other evidence.

Introducing the “plot”

Fortunately, there is a approach to solve behavioral and modeling problems that leverages the way in which we most intuitively understand the world. This is possible through “plots.”

Silhouettes of trees burning at sunset during a bushfire.
We find it difficult to reply to threats that transcend our personal experiences.
Details from Matt Palmer/Unsplash

Plot were developed in climate science to explain the uncertain physical way forward for climate. They do that through the use of expert judgment to prioritize understanding the “causal networks” that drive changes and extremes.

The priceless information contained in climate model projections is combined with other forms of site-relevant evidence to create a reliable (and useful) story of what the long run might bring.

For example, the chance of flooding is determined by a wide selection of things. These can include:

  • amount and intensity of rain
  • whether there was heavy rain within the recent past
  • changes to the catchment akin to vegetation, soils and the character of any upstream developments, including latest roads and buildings.

An organization that uses only rainfall changes from a climate model or a national flood model to evaluate risk can “hard-code” a future scenario that can turn into aren’t reliable at the size they need.

An alternative “storyline” approach argues that the very best approach to understand flood risk can be to work with experts to develop a narrative that describes changes in rainfall, along with all other local aspects.

This narrative can then be tested using traditional flood modelling methods to supply more comprehensive and actionable information on the impacts of adjusting rainfall on the local catchment area.

Quantitative disciplines akin to finance, economics, and accounting may take issue with the concept narrative can provide more useful information for decision-making than numbers. However, tests showed that narratives can make an uncertain future more tangible than numbers and thus higher aid planning and decision-making.

We need a brand new set of tools

The answer to the query “What will our future climate look like?” forces us to think otherwise and seek solutions that transcend the set of commonly used financial tools and techniques.

It encourages us to collaborate – through interdisciplinary dialogue – with experts, disciplines and knowledge with which we would feel uncomfortable.

The story could change the way in which organizations understand and report their exposure to climate risk. This is unlikely to be easy, and we recognize that getting quantitative information from a industrial provider could seem simpler. However, it is a more honest and rigorous approach to plan for the long run climate.

This article was originally published on : theconversation.com
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Business and Finance

David Shands and Donni Wiggins host the “My First Million” conference at ATL

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December is the birth month of David Shands and Donnie Wiggins, friends and business partners. Most people have fun by throwing a celebration. Others imagine it must be catered for. The chosen ones spend the day relaxing in peace and quiet.

Then there’s Shands and Wiggins.

The two decided that the best birthday gift can be to offer individuals with resources for generational wealth through a conference called “My first million”in Atlanta.

It’s a compromise between how their families and family members need to honor them and their desire to proceed to serve others. Shands acknowledges that almost all people won’t understand, and he unapologetically doesn’t expect them to.

“It’s not up to us to convince anyone why we do what we do,” admits Shands.

“I think everyone does what they do for different reasons, and I would just attribute it to a sense of accomplishment that I can’t explain to anyone else.”

He doesn’t need to clarify this to Wiggins because she understands his feelings. Wiggins has had a passion for serving others for so long as she will be able to remember.

“When I was in middle school, there were child sponsorship ads on TV featuring children from third world countries. I was earning money at the time and I asked my mother to send money,” she says BLACK ENTERPRISES.

She recalls how sad she felt for youngsters living in a world with so many opportunities, but at the same time going hungry. Her mother allowed her to send money, and in return she received letters informing her of their progress.

“It was very real to me,” Wiggins says, now admitting she’s undecided the letters were authentic. “I received a letter from the child I sponsored, a photograph and some updates throughout the 12 months. It was such a sense of being overwhelmed and it was something I felt so good about. I didn’t even tell my friends I used to be doing it.”

She carried this sense throughout her life, even when she lost every little thing, including her house, cars, and money. She still found ways to serve and give back, which is the basis of her friendship with Shands.

They each love seeing people at the peak of their potential, and that is what “My First Million” is all about. There can be no higher birthday gift for them than helping others create generational wealth.

What to expect during the “My First Million” conference.

They each built successful seven-figure empires, then train others, write books about it, and launch an acclaimed podcast Social proof.

Now they’re imparting that knowledge through the My First Million conference, an event for aspiring and existing entrepreneurs. Shands and Wiggins need to prove that being profitable is feasible and encourage people to bet on themselves.

“David and I, on paper, are not two people who should have made millions of dollars. Number one, we want (people) to see it,” Wiggins says. “Then we want them to actually get out of that room with practical and actionable steps.”

Both are clear: this just isn’t a motivational conference. This is a conference where people, irrespective of where they’re of their journey, will come away with clarity about their business and what they must be doing as CEOs. Shands and Wiggins want individuals who do not have a transparent marketing strategy or are considering starting a business to also attend the meeting.

“A few areas we will cover are inspiration, information, plan and partnership,” adds Shands. “We will give you 1-2-3 steps because some people get depressed and uninspired. Even if they know what to do, they won’t leave, go home and do it. So we have to really put something into their heads and hearts that they come away with.”

Sign up and enroll for My First Million Here. The conference will happen on December 13 this 12 months. but Shands and Wiggins say it definitely won’t be the last for those who miss it.


This article was originally published on : www.blackenterprise.com
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Business and Finance

Operation HOPE on the occasion of the 10th annual world forum

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Operation HOPE Inc. takes over Atlanta for the biggest game in the country dedicated to financial literacy and economic empowerment, Saporta reports.

The HOPE Global Forums (HGF) Annual Meeting 2024 strengthens the crucial link between financial education, innovation and community upliftment in hopes of finding solutions to the problems that stifle challenges around the world.

Organized by Operation HOPE founder John Hope Bryant, together with co-chairs Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens and U.S. Ambassador Andrew Young, the forums, to be held December Sep 11 at the Signia Hotel, will have fun its 10th anniversary with three days of engagement discussions, observations and forward-looking presentations.

Under the theme “The Future,” Hope Bryant says attendees are looking forward to a “powerful moment in history.”

“Over the past decade, we’ve brought together great minds with daring ideas, servant leaders with voices for change, and other people committed to a brand new vision of the world as we realize it. “‘The Future’ is a clear call to action for leaders to help ensure prosperity in every corner of society,” he said.

The extensive program includes influential and well-known speakers who address business, philanthropy, government and civil society. Confirmed speakers include White House correspondent Francesca Chambers, media specialist Van Jones and BET Media Group president and CEO Scott M. Mills.

“John Hope Bryant and his team have been doing this for ten years, and every year HGF raises the bar,” Young said. “Discussions about the FUTURE are important not only for civil dialogue; they are also essential to bridging the economic divide and solving some of today’s most important problems.”

Atlanta is predicted to welcome greater than 5,200 delegates representing greater than 40 countries.

“I have long said that Atlanta is a group project, and through our partnership with HOPE Global Forums, we are inviting the world to join the conversation,” Dickens mentioned. “From home ownership and entrepreneurship to youth engagement and financial education, HGF will offer bold and innovative ideas to ensure a bright future for all.”

It coincided with the organization’s annual meeting launched one other path to enhance financial knowledge with HOPE scholarships. With three tiers of scholarships – HOPE Lite, HOPE Classic and HOPE Silver – clients could have access to free financial coaching and academic resources.


This article was originally published on : www.blackenterprise.com
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Business and Finance

New Orleans’ black business district is marked by history

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New Orleans, Black Business Disctrict


New Orleans has given a historic monument to a Black business district closed for interstate construction.

The marker was a project fulfilled by in response to the initiative of Plessy and Ferguson. Founded by descendants of men involved within the Plessy v. Ferguson case that legalized segregation within the United States, the organization worked with other community groups to put a marker under the Claiborne Viaduct.

Before the upheaval, Black New Orleanians could find stores owned by other members of their community on Claiborne Avenue. Racial discrimination originally limited the power to buy on the famous Canal Street. Given this, blacks as an alternative flocked to the realm to purchase every little thing from groceries to funeral arrangements.

This mall was home to many Black-owned businesses, and emerging and established entrepreneurs had arrange shop for generations. Consisting of pharmacies, theaters, studios and more, it helped maintain a vibrant black culture in the realm. It reigned because the most important street of Black New Orleans from the 1830s to the Seventies.

The street once featured a picturesque cover of oak trees surrounding bustling businesses. However, its decline began with the expansion of roads within the southern state. The first casualty was the oak trees that were cut all the way down to make way for the development of Interstate 10, and shortly thereafter, the district’s thriving entrepreneurs suffered an identical fate.

Many residents do not forget that they didn’t know in regards to the upcoming investment until the trees began falling. Raynard Sanders, a historian and executive director of the Claiborne Avenue History Project, remembered the “devastation” felt by the community.

“It was devastation for those of us who were here,” Sanders told the news outlet. “I was walking to school and they were cutting down oak trees. We had no warning.”

Despite its eventual decline, the district stays an integral a part of Black New Orleans entrepreneurship. Now the town will physically resemble a historic center where Black business owners could thrive. They celebrated the revealing of the statue in true New Orleans style with a second line that danced down Claiborne Avenue.

“The significance of this sign is to commemorate the businesses, beautiful trees and beautiful people that thrived in this area before the bridge was built, and to save the people who still stand proud and gather under the bridge,” also said Keith Plessy, a descendant of Homer Plessy’ ego.

The growth of local black businesses continues. Patrons and owners alike hope to evoke the spirit of Claiborne’s original entrepreneurs, empowering the community.


This article was originally published on : www.blackenterprise.com
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