Donald Trump Bypasses Kamala Harris in Election Gambling Polls

Kamala Harris’ recent interview with CNN didn’t impress bettors who still predict that Donald Trump will defeat her in the November election.

According to gamblers placing bets In the presidential election, Trump has a 49.7% probability of defeating Harris, who’s losing by 0.9 percentage points, reports gambling sources aggregated Since Harris took over from Joe Biden in July, Trump has been tying or ahead of Harris in betting polls, in line with Real Clear Polling.

Trump’s current lead is his first since Aug. 22, despite exit polls showing Harris with a transparent result in take the White House. It was a tie on Aug. 31, but Harris fell in the betting odds after her CNN interview last week.

Harris’ last lead over Trump got here on Aug. 15, when she had an 8.8 percent lead. Harris’ temporary lead was followed by one other tie, and Harris was leading again after the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, when she opened a 2.3 percentage point gap.

Betting markets have some weight in relation to the election odds because bettors give attention to profits somewhat than government or media influence in the vote. Some election forecasters consider betting markets to be a worthwhile indicator as a result of the shortage of bias in bettor decision-making.

According to the positioning, only PredictIt (53%) has Harris ahead among the many six bookmakers in the RCP aggregate. The polls still show Harris with a slight lead, as she has a 1.8% lead over Trump in the RCP poll averages. However, Trump still leads in the poll averages in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, and is tied with Harris in Nevada.

In swing states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Harris is leading. Both campaigns are specializing in independents and undecided voters in seven key swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Harris and vice presidential candidate Tim Walz spent Labor Day in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, including one event with Biden, while Trump made no public appearances. Polls indicate that Trump has a bonus on key issues for voters because the election approaches, including an 8-point lead on confidence in the economy and rising inflation and a 9-point lead on handling immigration on the southern border.